Recession 2025 Predictions Today

Recession 2025 Predictions Today. Morgan analysts revealed that there's a 35% chance the u.s. You shouldn’t expect rates to drop much this year.

In the baseline scenario (50%), moderate growth is expected, with gdp slowing from 2.4% in 2025 to 1.7% in 2026, but no recession. According to the new york fed’s recession model, there is a 29% probability that the u.s.